(together with Stefan Gießler and Katja Heinisch), Journal of Economics and Statistics, forthcoming. Abstract: We analyze whether, and since when, East and West German business cycles are synchronised. We investigate real GDP, unemployment rates and survey data as business cycle …

(Since When) Are East and West German Business Cycles Synchronised? Read more »

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(together with Pao-Yu Oei, Hauke Hermann, Philipp Herpich, Benjamin, Lünenbürger and Christoph Schult), Energy – The International Journal, Volume 196, 2020, 117004. Abstract: The present study examines the consequences of the planned coal phase-out in Germany according to various phase-out …

Coal Phase-out in Germany – Implications and Policies for Affected Regions Read more »

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(gemeinsam mit Joao Claudio and Katja Heinisch), Empirical Economics, forthcoming Zusammenfassung: Economic forecasts are an important element of rational economic policy both on the federal and on the local or regional level. Solid budgetary plans for government expenditures and revenues …

Nowcasting East German GDP growth: a MIDAS approach Read more »

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(zusammen mit Felix Pohle) Economic Modelling 89, 2020, 108-121 (frühere Fassung: IWH Discussion Paper 28/2017) Zusammenfassung: Income inequality has been a major concern of economic policy makers for several years. Can minimum wages help to mitigate inequality? In 2015, the …

Employment Effects of Introducing a Minimum Wage: The Case of Germany Read more »

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(mit Katja Heinisch und Christoph Schult), Energy Economics, forthcoming (und: IWH Discussion Paper 16/2019) Zusammenfassung: In the fight against global warming, the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions is a major objective. In particular, a decrease in electricity generation by coal …

Power Generation and Structural Change: Quantifying Economic Effects of the Coal Phase-out in Germany Read more »

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(with Christoph Schult) Historical Social Research 44(2), 2019, 313-339 and IWH Discussion Paper 15/2018 Zusammenfassung: In this paper, we document the forecasting performance of estimated basic dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models and compare this to extended versions which consider …

Expectation Formation, Financial Frictions, and Forecasting Performance of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models Read more »

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Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 67(3), 247-265 und IWH Discussion Paper 5/2018 (mit Christoph Schult und Götz Zeddies) Zusammenfassung: Im Koalitionsvertrag von CDU, CSU und SPD vom 7. Februar 2018 formuliert die neue Bundesregierung ihre rentenpolitischen Ziele. Diese sind vor dem Hintergrund …

Zu den rentenpolitischen Plänen im Koalitionsvertrag 2018 von CDU, CSU und SPD: Konsequenzen, Finanzierungsoptionen und Reformbedarf Read more »

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Macroeconomic Dynamics 24(6), 2020, 1315-1345, und IWH Discussion Paper 34/2017 (mit Andrej Drygalla und Konstantin Kiesel). Zusammenfassung: In this paper, we analyse the effects of the stimulus packages adopted by the German government during the Great Recession. We employ a …

The Effects of Fiscal Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model – The Case of the German Stimulus Packages During the Great Recession Read more »

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(zusammen mit Sushanta Mallick), Journal of Asian Economics 46, 2016, 56-70 Abstract: This paper investigates a perception in the political debates as to what extent poor countries are affected by price movements in the global commodity markets. To test this …

Global Food Prices and Monetary Policy in an Emerging Market Economy: The Case of India Read more »

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(gemeinsam mit Martin Altemeyer-Bartscher, Axel Lindner, Andreas Schmalzbauer und Götz Zeddies), in: Intereconomics 51(4), 2016, 220-228 Zusammenfassung: The current situation regarding the migration of refugees can only be handled efficiently through closer international cooperation in the field of asylum policy. …

On the Distribution of Refugees in the EU Read more »

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